Don’t think Tokyo Olympics will happen next year says Japanese Scientist


A Japanese professor, Kentaro Iwata has said there is still a doubt if the postponed Olympics will surely will take place after this span of 15 months.

Iwata, a professor who studies on infectious disease at Kobe University spoke via teleconference, “To be honest with you, I don’t think the Olympics is likely to be held next year. Holding the Olympics needs two conditions; one, controlling COVID-19 in Japan, and controlling it everywhere else.”

The organizing committee and the International Olympic Committee have said there is no “Plan B” other than postponing of Olympics and opening it on July 23, 2021.

On this take, Itawa said, “I am very pessimistic about holding the Olympic Games next summer unless you hold the Olympic Games in a totally different structure such as no audience, or a very limited participation.”

He added, “You have to invite so many athletes from many, many places, which is not very compatible with this COVID-19 infection that is causing a pandemic. Japan might be able to control this disease by next summer. And I wish we could. But I don’t think that will happen everywhere on earth.”

As of Monday, there were about 12000 infected people and 250 deaths in Japan & the cases are increasing day by day, particularly in Tokyo and other nearby cities.

Olympics may depend on finding a vaccine, told Devi Sridhar, professor of Global Health at the University of Edinburgh to BBC.

“If we do get a vaccine within the next year then actually I think that (Olympics) is realistic,” she said.

“The vaccine will be the game-changer – an effective, affordable, available vaccine, If we don’t get a scientific breakthrough then I think that looks very unrealistic,” she added.

In a email to The Associated Press Dr. Ali S. Khan, the dean of the College of Public Health at the University of Nebraska told that Olympics may be possible without a vaccine.

“Fifteen months is plenty of time for public health to wrap around this problem even without a vaccine or drug,” Khan suggests that “medicoindustrial complex” would help to tackle the problem. She also added, “Think handheld personal testing devices the way we test for blood sugar. “He said.

The Olympics draw thousands of foreign visitors whenever it takes place, costs of air travel and hundred of hotels and also 11000 athletes are to stay in sprawling housing complex in Tokyo Bay.

IOC member John Coates, who took charges of preparation of Tokyo Olympics believes that it should given time as possible. But he also believes that time and situation have possibilities to change.

“It may be there is still an issue about the number of people congregating and those things, testing on athletes. It’s too early to say, ” he said.

Japan is officially spending $12.6 billions to organize the Olympics but an additional cost of between $2 billion and $6 billion will be added by postponement of Olympics and all charge will be taken by Japanese government itself.


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