Australian Open 2026: Alex de Minaur vs. Alexander Bublik Preview, Prediction, and Live Stream Details

Alexander Bublik to face Alex de Minaur for the sixth time on tour at the Australian Open.

Australian Open 2026: Alex de Minaur vs. Alexander Bublik Preview, Prediction, and Live Stream Details

Alexander Bublik and Alex de Minaur (via X/Jose Morgado)

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Alexander Bublik is in the fourth round of the Australian Open for the first time in his career. The Russian-born Kazakhstan star has experienced a late-career bloom, breaking into the top 10. He will face home favorite Alex de Minaur in the round of 16 of the Melbourne Grand Slam.

De Minaur’s nemesis last season was Bublik. Apart from Jannik Sinner, Carlos Alcaraz, and Novak Djokovic, only Bublik defeated him on two consecutive occasions last year, including the second round of Roland Garros. The Aussie will be aiming to earn his revenge over the 10th seed at the Australian Open.

Alexander Bublik vs. Alex de Minaur: Match Details

  • Venue: Rod Laver Arena
  • Time: TBD
  • Round: Fourth round
  • Surface: Outdoor hardcourt
  • Date: January 25, 2026
  • Tournament: Australian Open 2026
  • Match: Alexander Bublik vs. Alex de Minaur

Alexander Bublik vs. Alex de Minaur: Match Preview

Since crashing out of the second round of the Rome Masters last year, Alexander Bublik has lost just nine matches. He has been the most in-form player after Carlos Alcaraz and Jannik Sinner. In 2025, only Sinner and Alcaraz won more titles on the court than him, and they have continued with that form in 2026.

He began his 2026 campaign with a triumph at the Hong Kong Open, which was his ninth tour-level title. In Melbourne, he defeated Jenson Brooksby and Márton Fucsovics easily in three sets before facing Argentina’s Tomas Martin Etcheverry, overcoming him in 7-6(4), 7-6(5), 6-4 at the Margaret Court Arena to reach the fourth round of the Australian Open.

Alexander Bublik
Alexander Bublik (via X)

On the other hand, Alex de Minaur maintained his position in the top 10 of the ATP rankings last season. He featured in his second consecutive ATP Finals and made it to the semi-finals before losing to Jannik Sinner. He opened his 2026 campaign at the United Cup, representing Australia in Perth, where they were knocked out by Poland in the quarter-finals.

De Minaur is currently the leading figure in Australian tennis, and there are hopes he will win his maiden Grand Slam in front of his home fans. He kicked off his campaign with a straight sets win over Mackenzie McDonald before coming from a set down to beat Hamad Medjedovic 6(5)-7, 6-2, 6-2, 6-1. On Friday (January 23), he sealed his place in the fourth round by beating American star Frances Tiafoe 6-3, 6-4, 7-5.

Alexander Bublik vs. Alex de Minaur: Match Prediction

Alex de Minaur became the second Australian man to reach the last 16 of the Australian Open in five consecutive years, joining former World No.1 John Newcombe in the list of great achievers. He has never hidden his intentions of winning the Australian Open. In fact, he has often stated that he hopes to challenge Carlos Alcaraz and Jannik Sinner for it. De Minaur holds a 3-2 lead over Bublik in their head-to-head record.

Alex de Minaur
Alex de Minaur (via X/the tennis letter)

But he will first pass through Alexander Bublik, who is currently riding on a seven-match winning streak after capturing his ninth ATP Tour title in Hong Kong. The World No.10 won four titles last year and his career-best wins in a season (37). He’s not showing any signs of letting down the momentum in 2026.

Bublik will be eager to prove a point at the Australian Open, having reached his first Grand Slam quarter-finals at the 2025 French Open. The winner between De Minaur and Bublik will likely face Carlos Alcaraz in the quarter-finals. Bublik defeated Jannik Sinner last year at the Terra Wortmann Open, he will be looking forward to doing the same damage should he face the current World No.1.

Match prediction: Alexander Bublik to win in five sets.

Alexander Bublik vs. Alex de Minaur: Live Stream Details

  • India – SONY
  • USA – ESPN, Tennis Channel
  • UK – TNT Sports
  • Canada – TSN, RDS
  • Australia – Nine, Stan. Sports
  • New Zealand– SKY

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