Indian Wells 2025 Final: Aryna Sabalenka vs. Mirra Andreeva preview, prediction, and live stream details

Aryna Sabalenka and Mirra Andreeva have faced each other five times on the tour, with the former holding a 4-1 head-to-head lead.


Indian Wells 2025 Final: Aryna Sabalenka vs. Mirra Andreeva preview, prediction, and live stream details

Mirra Andreeva and Aryna Sabalenka (via X)

The 2025 Indian Wells women’s singles final will feature top-seed Aryna Sabalenka and 17-year-old Mirra Andreeva. The former is seeking to reach her win her first Indian Wells career title after establishing herself on the women’s circuit. She has had a good run this season and is already into her third final of the year.

For Andreeva, it’s a continuation of her impressive form this season. The Russian is on an 11-match winning streak and, out of the victories, has beaten Elena Rybakina and Iga Swiatek twice. She’s now aiming to become the youngest Indian Wells champion since Bianca Andreescu in 2019 but will have to first go through Sabalenka.

YouTube video

Aryna Sabalenka vs. Mirra Andreeva: Match Details

  • Surface: Outdoor hard court
  • Tournament: Indian Wells 2025
  • Match: Aryna Sabalenka vs. Mirra Andreeva
  • Date: March 16, 2025
  • Venue: Indian Wells Tennis Garden
  • Round: Final
  • Time: TBD

Aryna Sabalenka vs. Mirra Andreeva: Match Preview

Aryna Sabalenka has been playing a near perfect tennis since arriving at Indian Wells. The World No.1 was on a 1-3 win-loss record before the tournament, but she made sure she began well in the desert, beating McCartney Kessler 7-6(4), 6-3 in the second round. She continued with her impressive form beating Lucia Bronzetti and Sonay Kartal in straight sets.

FS Video

Sabalenka’s first Top 30 seed was against Liudmila Samsonova and she wasted no time dispersing the Russian star in 6-2, 6-3 in the quarter-finals. She then went over to face Madison Keys in the semifinals. The World No.1 never forgot her three-set loss against the American at the Australian Open final in January.

Aryna Sabalenka
Aryna Sabalenka (via X)

Motivated for revenge, Sabalenka put in her best performance of the season, dominating the court and needed just 51 minutes to oust Keys in 6-0, 6-1. She’s now into her second Indian Wells final.

On the other hand, Mirra Andreeva continued with her Dubai Tennis Championships form. The 17-year-old had won her first WTA 1000 title at the tournament in dramatic fashion. She opened her account in the California desert, beating Varvara Gracheva 7-5, 6-4 in the second round. She then faced off Clara Tauson, whom she had beaten in the Dubai Championships final.

In the Round of 16, she earned her second consecutive win over Rybakina. She defeated the former Indian Wells champion 6-1, 6-2. In the quarterfinals, she showed relentless persistence by beating Elina Svitolina in a straight set.

It was Svitolina’s first loss against a Russian player since the start of the war between Russia and Ukraine. Andreeva cemented her place in the final by beating defending champion Swiatek 7-6 (1), 1-6, 6-3 in the semifinals of the tournament.

Aryna Sabalenka vs. Mirra Andreeva: Match Prediction

Aryna Sabalenka has rejuvenated her game in Indian Wells, hitting powerful groundstrokes and forehands that opponents fail to control. She has also increased the intensity of her game forcing others to concede errors. The Belarusian did that against Keys which seamlessly worked for her. But she’s now faced with Andreeva, who also has begun to play more aggressively.

Mirra Andreeva
Mirra Andreeva (Image via X)

Although she sometimes concedes errors, she’s good at outlasting her opponents in long rallies. She has also been aggressive on the court and well-disciplined not to give her opponent any chance.

However, Sabalenka holds a 4-1 lead in their head-to-head record. This will be their third meeting of the year, with Sabalenka routing Andreeva 6-3, 6-2 in Brisbane and 6-1,6-2 at the Australian Open. Andreeva’s only win came at the Roland Garros, where she came from behind to beat the World No.1 6-7(5), 6-4, 6-4.

Match Prediction: Mirra Andreeva to win in three sets.

Aryna Sabalenka vs. Mirra Andreeva: Live Stream Details

  • Australia – beIN Sports
  • New Zealand– Tennis TV
  • India – SonyLIV
  • USA – Tennis Channel
  • UK – Sky UK
  • Canada – TSN