2025 ATP Finals Draw: Preview and Prediction Featuring Carlos Alcaraz, Jannik Sinner, Alexander Zverev, and Taylor Fritz

The 54th edition of the WTA Finals ended on November 8 and saw Elena Rybakina crowned as the newest champion after a straight-set win over Aryna Sabalenka. The men’s season will also end after a few more days.

November 9 will mark the commencement of the 56th edition of the ATP Finals, scheduled to be held in Turin for the fifth consecutive time. Home favorite Jannik Sinner will enter the tournament as the defending champion.

As per the ATP Finals format, the eight qualified players are divided into two groups: Group Jimmy Connors and Group Bjorn Borg. After the round robin stage, where each member of a group will play the three other players from their own group, the two top players from one group will lock horns with the two top players from another group in the semifinals.

Tournament Details

• Defending Champion: Jannik Sinner
• Tournament: 2025 ATP Finals
• Date: November 9- November 16
• No. of Entrants: 8
• Venue: Inalpi Arena, Turin, Italy
• Surface: Indoor hardcourt
• Total Prize Money Pool: $15.5m

Top seeds at the 2025 ATP Finals

• Carlos Alcaraz
• Jannik Sinner
• Alexander Zverev
• Ben Shelton
• Taylor Fritz
• Alex de Minaur
• Felix Auger-Aliassime
• Lorenzo Musetti

Round robin: Group Jimmy Connors

Carlos Alcaraz, Taylor Fritz, Alex de Minaur, Lorenzo Musetti

Alcaraz had a disappointing run in the previous indoor hardcourt event he played at the Paris Masters, as he suffered an opening-round exit at the hands of Britain’s Cameron Norrie. The Spaniard has never progressed beyond the semifinals of the ATP Finals, and last year, he failed to even go past the round-robin stage.

But Alcaraz has an indoor hardcourt title to his name, this year’s Rotterdam Open. He will be bidding to win his ninth title of the season.

Fritz was the runner-up last year. He has so far lifted the Stuttgart Open and the Eastbourne International, while at the Japan Open, he lost to Alcaraz in the final.

De Minaur featured in two finals: he lost the Rotterdam Open and clinched the Citi Open by beating Alejandro Davidovich Fokina. Musetti’s fate lay in the hands of Novak Djokovic, who withdrew from the event once again, only to see Musetti enter as his replacement.

Semifinals: Carlos Alcaraz, Taylor Fritz

Round robin: Group Bjorn Borg

Jannik Sinner, Alexander Zverev, Ben Shelton, Felix Auger-Aliassime

Sinner played the finals of the season-ending event in the previous two years, losing in 2023 to Djokovic and winning last by beating Fritz. Before entering Turin, he clinched the Paris Masters, which helped him dethrone Alcaraz from the No.1 ranking.

Zverev has suffered ups and downs this season, winning only the Munich Open and losing three more finals, including the Australian Open to Sinner. It was Shelton whom Zverev defeated in Munich. The American also reached the Canadian Open final, only to wrap it up in his favor by beating Karen Khachanov, lifting the biggest title of his career.

Sinner clinched the Paris Masters by going past Auger-Aliassime. For the Canadian ace, it was his fifth final of the season. The Adelaide International, Open Sud de France, and European Open were the titles he has clinched this season.

Semifinals: Jannik Sinner, Alexander Zverev

Semifinal prediction:

• Carlos Alcaraz vs. Alexander Zverev
• Taylor Fritz vs. Jannik Sinner

Final

Sinner and Alcaraz have faced each other whenever they are in the same draw since the Italian Open (except the Paris Masters). The four-time Grand Slam champion trails 5-10 in the head-to-head matchups.

They have clashed only once in an indoor hardcourt event, in the 2021 Paris Masters, which Alcaraz won. But Sinner was the winner when they faced off in the previous two indoor hardcourt event: the Six Kings Slam exhibition finals in 2024 and this year. Because of Sinner’s performance on indoor hardcourt, he will be the favorite to win.

Final prediction: Jannik Sinner vs. Carlos Alcaraz

Winner prediction: Jannik Sinner

Also read: Jannik Sinner Reveals Why He Swore at Coach Darren Cahill During Paris Masters: “Sometimes I Am Not Easy”