China Open 2024: Men’s Singles Draw Preview and Prediction featuring Carlos Alcaraz, Jannik Sinner, and Daniil Medvedev
Jannik Sinner is in Beijing to defend his China Open title but could face a tough challenge from Carlos Alcaraz if they meet in the final.
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Carlos Alcaraz, Daniil Medvedev, Jannik Sinner (Images via X)
After a successful run at the US Open, Jannik Sinner will be bidding to defend his China Open title, having won the tournament last year by beating Daniil Medvedev. While Sinner is in the first quarter of the draw, rival Carlos Alcaraz and Medvedev are in the later quarters.
The China Open will be Sinner’s first competition since winning his second major title at Flushing Meadows. Alcaraz, on the other hand, will enter the tournament on the back of a successful run at the Laver Cup for Team Europe. Six-time China Open champion Novak Djokovic chose not to land in Beijing as the Shanghai Open will be the tournament he will play next following his third-round exit at the US Open.
Tournament Details
- Tournament: China Open
- Date: September 25th – October 2nd, 2024
- Venue: China National Tennis Centre
- Surface: Outdoor Hard Court
- Total Prize Money Pool: $13,140,000
- Defending Champion: Jannik Sinner
Top Seeds at China Open
- Jannik Sinner
- Carlos Alcaraz
- Daniil Medvedev
- Andrey Rublev
- Grigor Dimitrov
China Open 2024 Draw Preview
First Quarter
In the first quarter, top seed Jannik Sinner will be meeting an unseeded Nicolas Jarry, while wild card entrant Stan Wawrinka will face Jan-Lennard Struff. The 39-year-old Swiss veteran is playing his first tournament since his first-round exit at the US Open.
The winner of the match between Jiri Lehecka and Pedro Martinez could face Bulgaria’s Grigor Dimitrov in the fourth round. Dimitrov, just like Alcaraz, was part of Team Europe’s victory at the Laver Cup and the China Open Round of 32 will be the first match he will play since the event in Berlin.
Quarterfinals Prediction: Jannik Sinner vs. Grigor Dimitrov
Second Quarter
Andrey Rublev will clash with Pablo Carreno Busta, while Alejandro Davidovich Fokina will be up against China’s Zhang Zhizhen. There are two more home favorites as Shang Juncheng, who defeated Lorenzo Musetti in the Chengdu Open, will lock horns with compatriot Bu Yunchaokete.
Musetti, on the other hand, will be meeting a qualifier. He has been impressive this season so far and will be aiming for another final appearance on the ATP Tour.
Quarterfinals Prediction: Andrey Rublev vs. Lorenzo Musetti
Third Quarter
This quarter has two Top 10 seeds, eighth seed Alexander Bublik and third seed Daniil Medvedev. Bublik will open his account with a match against Flavio Cobolli, while Yi Zhou, the wild card entrant, will be meeting a qualifier.
Lorenzo Sonego will be clashing with Adrian Mannarino, while Medvedev will square off against former World No.6 Gael Monfils, against whom the Russian is 2-2 in their head-to-head meetings.
Quarterfinals Prediction: Alexander Bublik vs. Daniil Medvedev
Fourth Quarter
The fourth quarter features Karen Khachanov and Carlos Alcaraz as the two seeded players. Khachanov’s first match is against a qualifier, while Alcaraz will face Frenchman Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard.
Francisco Cerundolo also will meet a qualifier, while Tallon Griekspoor, who is also playing doubles, will be up against Miomir Kecmanovic.
Quarterfinals Prediction: Carlos Alcaraz vs. Francisco Cerundolo
Semifinals
Jannik Sinner is expected to beat Grigor Dimitrov in the quarterfinals to schedule a possible match against Lorenzo Musetti. Although one can’t write off Andrey Rublev, he often loses his cool when he gives away crucial points, owing to which he sometimes ends up losing focus on the match.
In the second semifinal, Alcaraz could emerge victorious over Francisco Cerundolo, while Daniil Medvedev would be the favorite to win against Alexander Bublik. It would be a blockbuster semifinal if Alcaraz faces Medvedev.
Semifinals Prediction: Jannik Sinner vs Lorenzo Musetti
Semifinals Prediction: Carlos Alcaraz vs Daniil Medvedev
Final
The match that every tennis fan would be waiting for would be a clash of the top two seeds. Carlos Alcaraz and Jannik Sinner have played some memorable matches in the last few years, with the former edging the Italian 5-4 in their head-to-head meetings.
Finals Prediction: Carlos Alcaraz vs. Jannik Sinner
Winner’s Prediction: Carlos Alcaraz
Though it’s difficult to predict the winner between the two talents, Alcaraz has won the two matches he played against Sinner this year and would be expected to repeat the same if both reach the final.
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Gouri Das
(4734 Articles Published)